Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.012570 0.015396 0.019007 0.024089 0.031282 0.041482 0.057833
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.009053 0.012070 0.016453 0.023680 0.036221 0.059363 0.113044
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006995 0.009758 0.014066 0.021865 0.037291 0.071710 0.181499
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005803 0.008364 0.012571 0.020759 0.038788 0.086490 0.299931
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005101 0.007569 0.011821 0.020672 0.042346 0.111293 0.593311
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004655 0.007099 0.011503 0.021305 0.048123 0.153648 1.613618
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004241 0.006607 0.011025 0.021408 0.052652 0.203180 5.703068
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003804 0.006007 0.010216 0.020468 0.053399 0.238015 22.819952
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003487 0.005584 0.009686 0.020066 0.055871 0.296234 1596.420311
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003337 0.005450 0.009729 0.021178 0.065264 0.470390 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003248 0.005419 0.009984 0.022994 0.080161 0.908469 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003187 0.005434 0.010345 0.025313 0.101798 2.299826 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002969 0.005133 0.009978 0.025404 0.112940 4.949722 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002747 0.004800 0.009486 0.024942 0.120764 11.486700 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002489 0.004362 0.008662 0.022992 0.114238 14.621984 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002294 0.004040 0.008087 0.021807 0.113227 26.733439 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002165 0.003849 0.007818 0.021714 0.122767 207.944473 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002079 0.003741 0.007747 0.022392 0.142936 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001981 0.003596 0.007554 0.022502 0.158261 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001855 0.003380 0.007137 0.021496 0.156866 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001760 0.003223 0.006865 0.021066 0.163833 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001720 0.003189 0.006935 0.022256 0.203572 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001700 0.003200 0.007133 0.024204 0.276512 NaN NaN